Home » Betting Steelers-Chargers on Sunday night: Picks for Justin Herbert, DK Metcalf and more

Betting Steelers-Chargers on Sunday night: Picks for Justin Herbert, DK Metcalf and more

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Sunday’s Week 10 NFL slate wraps up with the Pittsburgh Steelers visiting the Los Angeles Chargers on “Sunday Evening Soccer.”

The Chargers have received two straight, together with final week’s street win over the Tennessee Titans. Pittsburgh snapped a two-game skid with a win over the Indianapolis Colts final Sunday.

The Chargers are 3.5-point favorites for Thursday’s sport.

Liz Loza, Pamela Maldonado and Eric Moody provide their picks, prop performs and evaluation that can assist you guess the sport.

Observe: Odds at time of publication. For the most recent updates, go to ESPN BET Sportsbook.


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Game picks | Prop bets | Betting trends

Sport bets

Chargers’ workforce whole OVER 23.5 (-130)

Maldonado: Los Angeles leads the league in third-down conversion charge and yards-per-play differential, and this can be a matchup the place each ought to present. Pittsburgh’s protection nonetheless leans on turnovers to masks inefficiency, however when the Steelers do not get one, they’re backside 5 within the league in factors per drive allowed. The Chargers, in the meantime, have a plus-88-yard margin per sport on their opponents, and with Justin Herbert’s passing quantity and purple zone precision, they need to maintain drives, even with a shaky run sport.

Notable participant props, bets

Justin Herbert Over 0.5 INTs (-115)

Loza: Herbert has thrown a minimum of one decide in six of 9 video games this season. He has registered 4 INTs over his previous three outings. Accidents to the offensive line and a questionable sport script have compelled Herbert to make riskier or extra aggressive downfield throws which have led to takeaways. In the meantime, the Steelers are coming off a dominant effort versus the Indianapolis Colts, choosing off three of Daniel Jones’ passes (Jones had simply three INTs heading into Week 9) through the seven-point upset. Assuming the Steelers construct off their Week 9 efficiency, noting Joe Alt’s absence for the Bolts’ offensive line, and the truth that the unfold on this sport is simply 2.5 factors, Herbert is more likely to make a minimum of one miscalculation.

DK Metcalf Over 50.5 receiving yards (-115)

Moody: Metcalf has cleared this line in solely 4 of eight video games, however there’s cause for optimism right here. The Chargers run one of many highest charges of zone protection within the league, and Metcalf has carried out considerably higher towards zone-heavy defenses this season. For instance, he posted a season-high 126 yards towards the Minnesota Vikings, who additionally lean closely on zone. By comparability, a few of his quieter video games got here towards man-heavy defenses such because the Cincinnati Bengals, Inexperienced Bay Packers and Colts. This matchup units up significantly better for him.

Betting tendencies

Courtesy of ESPN Analysis

  • The Chargers are 1-5 ATS of their previous six video games.

  • The Chargers have lined 5 straight prime-time video games (6-2 ATS below Jim Harbaugh, 3-0 ATS this season). The Steelers are 0-2 ATS in prime-time video games this season.

  • Within the AFC North, the 5-3 Steelers (+135) are the second option to win the division, behind the 3-5 Ravens (-140).

  • The 6-3 Chargers (+350) are the third selection within the AFC West, behind the 5-4 Chiefs (+125) 7-2 Broncos (+145).

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